Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.009967 0.011264 0.012688 0.014373 0.016318 0.018496 0.021131
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.007845 0.009570 0.011637 0.014315 0.017715 0.021921 0.027568
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.006444 0.008250 0.010540 0.013686 0.017943 0.023574 0.031700
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.005658 0.007534 0.010023 0.013612 0.018736 0.025910 0.036930
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.005302 0.007313 0.010092 0.014283 0.020567 0.029844 0.044967
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004669 0.006623 0.009410 0.013764 0.020559 0.031036 0.048975
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.004190 0.006092 0.008888 0.013399 0.020701 0.032421 0.053433
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003879 0.005776 0.008643 0.013416 0.021420 0.034785 0.059864
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003744 0.005711 0.008768 0.014024 0.023164 0.039065 0.070373
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003473 0.005404 0.008477 0.013902 0.023634 0.041165 0.077136
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003281 0.005205 0.008339 0.014020 0.024527 0.044129 0.086064
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003052 0.004926 0.008040 0.013817 0.024799 0.045938 0.092903
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002919 0.004804 0.008010 0.014121 0.026110 0.050051 0.105674
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002743 0.004594 0.007810 0.014093 0.026784 0.053003 0.116521
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002498 0.004243 0.007328 0.013474 0.026184 0.053183 0.120883
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002355 0.004062 0.007138 0.013402 0.026703 0.055856 0.131877
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002319 0.004075 0.007306 0.014060 0.028860 0.062527 0.154568
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002142 0.003809 0.006925 0.013551 0.028383 0.062999 0.160780
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001998 0.003597 0.006629 0.013192 0.028203 0.064159 0.169179
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001908 0.003482 0.006514 0.013209 0.028892 0.067569 0.184896
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001886 0.003496 0.006659 0.013805 0.031034 0.075039 0.214810
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001793 0.003362 0.006491 0.013686 0.031413 0.077919 0.230968
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.001728 0.003282 0.006430 0.013802 0.032394 0.082604 0.254361